Elliott Wave Analysis

Daily & Weekly XJO Updates

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31/07/07

Further gains today, but it was be the first re-test of recent lows that will show if we've reached solid support.


30/07/07

After the large falls last week, not surprisingly, we saw a bounce today.

This fit's with the current wave labels, but it's an unusual pattern. The next few days and weeks should tell us if we've found a firm base for further gains or not.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070730.JPG


27/07/07

Prices took a real hammering today.

I can count an alternative 5 wave pattern (see grey line pointing to a previous high), but the action since makes it unclear if that was the high.

Whether this is the first big shake out or the final high itself remains to be seen. I'd prefer to see the price action over the next week or so to make up my mind.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070727.JPG


26/07/07

Ok, after today's additional falls, there's clearly something more complicated going on with this current chart pattern.

My best guess is below, which is an a-b-c-X-a-b-c pattern - it's the only way I can explain the action at the moment.

If correct, we should see support around 6180-6220 - the former being previous lows marked c and a.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070726.JPG


25/07/07

Despite being hit hard today, after heavy falls on Wall Street overnight, the XJO has still maintained a higher bottom after yesterdays record close.

Unless Wall Street continues to fall, we should see a breakthrough of the recent high.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070725.JPG


20/07/07

We broke through today, so should see a follow through next week as prices push higher to complete the last 5th wave over the coming weeks.

Note that this is a wave 3, so the possibility of an extension is quite high (if it hasn't already begun in the triangle pattern).

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070720.JPG


19/07/07

We're bouncing around in this triangle pattern at the moment and hopefully we will push higher soon.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070719.JPG


18/07/07

We had a sharp 55 or so point fall today.

We're still maintaining higher highs and lows on the daily chart, so I'll stick with the more bullish picture.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070718.JPG


17/07/07

There's a triangle pattern forming with higher lows - usually a sign of increasing buyers and fewer sellers.

This 'should' lead to a push higher (hopefully not a failure).

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070717.JPG


16/07/07

Small range day today. The hourly chart looks like it's a corrective decline, so hopefully a pause before pushing higher.

Today's chart chart below.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070716.JPG


13/07/07

There was a new intraday high this morning before we drifted lower.

This bodes well for higher prices next week.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070713.JPG


12/07/07

We pushed higher today.

With a bit more encouragement from Wall Street, we should hopefully push to new highs in the next few sessions.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070712.JPG


11/07/07

Lower prices today. We will need a push higher fairly soon to keep the current labeling alive.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070711.JPG


10/07/07

We hit an expected resistance level today, namely around the level of two recent highs.

Prices often push through or fall away on the third attempt, the latter being a triple top.

All things considered, it's looking like we will push through - hopefully in the next day or so.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070710.JPG


09/07/07

It looks like we will break to a new all time high this week.

I've added labels on today's chart showing a possible 'final' 5 waves to end the pattern.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070709.JPG


06/07/07

Despite loosing some ground today, the XJO looks like it will push higher from here to finish off this pattern.

If the green wave 4 label proves to be correct, the wave 2 decline was fairly large - which means that wave 3 should push a fair bit higher.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070706.JPG


05/07/07

It looks like the bulls have taken control, at the moment anyway, and we're pushing higher.

If you interest in gearing shares for a better return, you may want to check out my other site TradingTheSPI.com - whilst the name suggests a focus on the Futures Index, from this month I've started to feature Top 200 shares that can be 'geared' for better returns.

Even if you don't wish to gear, the shares discussed are in strong up trends and don't seem affected by the dips of the ASX200 Index.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070705.JPG


04/07/07

Not much movement - the interest rate announcement must have put a damper on things today.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070704.JPG


03/07/07

I think a breakout should occur fairly soon.

The DOW in the US is holding up fairly well and the broader S&P500 is looking almost ready to push to new highs. This may give us some clue as to where we are in this pattern.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070703.JPG


02/07/07

5th wave failure or start of the start of the final wave 3 of 5 up?

I'm still not sure which way we're going to swing next, so let's wait and see.

Link to Daily chart: charts/XJO_20070702.JPG

 

 

 

Disclaimer: This is for educational purposes only and is not trading advice. These are personal views of the author. The reader should always seek professional advice to suit their personal circumstances.